Friday, September 3, 2010

Earl Arrives and Calming Weather After the Storm

Image courtesy from: http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/














Category 1 Hurricane Earl is just on our doorstep moving NNE sparing Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and portions of Long Island the wrath of its strength.
Although a Category 1, Earl is still a fairly large hurricane packing winds 85mph plus with central pressure of 961mb and slowly rising. Water temperatures are not quite as warm as they are towards the Southern Atlantic, and Earl is tapping into shearing drier air that is slowly beginning to colapse the strength of Earl.
Forecst tracks are still confident to keeping Earl well East off the areas coastal with the exception of far Eastern parts of Long Island  and coastal Massachusetts being brushed with the storm later this evening.
The National Hurricane Center is still keeping the Tropical Storm Warnings and Hurricane Watches posted until Earl passes through this evening.
Tropical Storm force winds, squall-like rain, and very rough surf will be the main concern through this afternoon in coastal regions. The rain and wind will decrease moving more towards inland.

As Earl pushes away, the clouds and rain will exit as well until a cold front moves its way in the area from the West, that will give us a much needed reprieve from the heat and humidity that we have seen. An upper level trough will develop to deepen this weekend over the area; which was our saving grace for Earl not making landfall on New Jersey and Long Island (although we are due my friends...) as high pressure sets shop over the region that will keep the weather mild, sunny, and dry. Saturday expect a very breezy day, especially by the coastal areas, with the gradient between Earl exiting and a new weather trasition entering the region. Wind gusts could reach up to 25-30mph.
As for near term holiday weather concerns, expect sunny skies with clouds clearing early Saturday and comfortable temperatures in the lower 80s falling to cooler lower to middle 50s in the eveing. Much of the same will hold for Sunday into Labor Day Monday.

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