Wednesday, October 13, 2010

More Rain!

I feel like all I have been posting about is nothing but rain, and flooding, and dreariness! For most of us all this negative drab weather is just depressing. However, according to my bestie (you know who you are..) the rain is her favorite weather! Personally, according to one of my favorite quotes: "Anyone who says sunshine brings happiness, has never danced in the rain." Try it sometime, it is quite fabulous and liberating.

My friends, there is more rain a'coming. On a positive note though; the is beautiful Fall weather is upon is for the weekend!

Now, back to the main event: The Nor'easter (Bumm bum bummm ::scary music::)

If the North East has not seen enough rain, there is more, yes more, yet to come. However, Jersey does look to be spared a bit and the low pressure moving in from the Southwest Thursday, is forecasted to rapidly intensify and 'redevelop' over New England which equals more rain for Mass., Conn., New York, RI and such. As the current (as of Wednesday evening) moves further off the coast, clouds will begin to move in early Thursday. As of now, the exact forecasted track of the system is still not agreeing with all the models, which in turn makes it difficult to have an exact idea of the impacts and as far as when the precipitation will being. We do have an idea of what to expect.

Rain will intensify from South to North Jersey and Pennsylvania (as the system is moving North and East from out of the Southwest) Just as a F.Y.I.: Nor'easter is a East Coast low pressure area in which the center of rotation is just off the East Coast and leading winds (in the front left quadrant) rotate on land from the Northeast.


    12z 10/14/10: NWS/NCEP/HPC/NOAA

00z 10/15/10: NWS/NCEP/HPC/NOAA
Note: the pink circle shows the Northeastward movement of the system up the coast.












Thus far, the QPF seems to be an inch (1) to two (2) inches max. Some areas still affected by the last rain could have some flooding. Instability, especially in Southern Jersey could trigger an isolated thunderstorm, to which in these storms, rain could fall heavier. The next ingredient to this system to keep an eye on is the wind. The winds are forecasted to be on the rise through Thursday through Saturday (as this system leaves the area). Winds will be 15-20 mph, with higher gusts of 30-40 mph. The temperatures Thursday will only reach the middle to lower 60s and fall to the middle 40s in the evening. It will feel a little cooler due to the wind picking up. It is just going to be down right chilly and raw out there for the next two days.

~ V.S.

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